Tough call.
As has been said before, if you are a fan of the player the first goal shirt is a no brainer.
There are 20+ other jerseys out there with the patch, only one goal jersey.
If you are a fan of the team and not so much the player, then the patched jersey may be the way to go.
I have a Robitaille Retirement Night patched jersey that I have solely for the patch, player wasn't a big deal.
As it turns out the player, Frolov, has turned into no big deal.